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Strands Decider 2B

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glm-5.3-flash
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Strands Decider 2B is the Strands Agents team’s Apache-2.0 decision model, a 2B LoRA-plus-pointer readout on Qwen3.5 that answers choice, score, and yes/no questions with calibrated confidence in one pass, shipped with a pip CLI and positioned as the decision component for agentic workflows built on the Strands Agents SDK.

This is the wave’s second company-built open checkpoint, and the first from a hyperscaler’s agent team, and it arrives with the strongest self-run evaluation culture in the category and the weakest third-party result: the seed tables and calibration contract are published to a standard nobody else matches, while the one independent board that has measured it ranks it 178th of 226.

What it is
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A small decision model in this category’s standard pattern: a state and typed questions go in, one probability per option comes out, no generated text. The released checkpoint, strands-decider-2B-qwen3.5-v1-2610 on Hugging Face, is a rank-48 adapter plus a readout head trained on a 246,678-row mix whose builders describe every source family, drop the 20,000 rows whose terms restrict commercial use, and use an Apache-2.0 Gemma 4 teacher with Claude only as an independent row filter whose text never enters the data. The v1 line is not one model: the same 2026-10-09 release shipped four Gemma 4 siblings (E2B, E4B, 12B, and a 26B-A4B, each the same pointer head on google/gemma-4-*-it bases, every one a three-run soup), with per-model self-run tables reading 180 to 207 right of the 231 JevBench public items and 29.78 to 48.69 against the Decision Index’s public suite, and the training configs of all five v1 releases were published under configs/v1 on 2026-10-16. The v1 checkpoint is a soup of three training runs (the per-layer mean of three seeds’ LoRA updates with stacked heads), anchored to the previous release with a KL term so answers do not drift. Serving is a pip CLI (pip install strands-decider, PyPI 0.2.0) with CPU, CUDA, MPS, and MLX extras, MLX running 1.4 to 1.6x faster than MPS on Apple silicon per the README. It comes from strands-labs, the org behind the Strands Agents SDK, an AWS-backed agent framework, and the README positions the model as a natural fit for decisions inside workflows built on that SDK.

Status
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Active and fresh: the repository was created 2026-09-29 and pushed 2026-10-29 (the 10-26 push a training-code refactor removing the superseded slot head; the 10-29 movement is branch activity with no new commit on the default branch; the pointer head is the only readout and the released checkpoints keep loading), with 636 stars as of 2026-10-15 and 99 forks as of 2026-10-27, and the Hugging Face checkpoint was published 2026-10-09 with 7 likes, its download counter still not tracking (GitHub and Hugging Face APIs). The project’s first tagged releases landed 2026-10-19: PyPI 0.2.0 splits inference from training (the training commands leave the CLI), fixes the MPS crash under overlapping requests and per-request option offsets under concurrent serving, makes evaluation prepare the model exactly as serving does, and ships a harness-agnostic customize-decider skill (from a user’s decision to a measured, calibrated model) plus SageMaker deploy docs.

Star History Chart

The launch post (2026-10-07) drew a 285-point Show HN thread, above the bar most of this wave cleared, and the tone was warmer than most decision-model threads: early commenters reported on-device deployments rather than methodology fights, one running it in a browser extension to filter email. The self-run evidence is unusually disciplined: evaluation/results.md publishes per-seed tables next to the soup’s numbers (JevBench public items 180 of 231 tasks right, Brier 0.280, ECE 0.072, HotpotQA 0.832 never trained on), states that the training-data builders are not yet on main so the data cannot be rebuilt from the repository, and dates every measurement. The headline reliability claim is a confidence contract: on short classification tasks it has never seen, answers at confidence 0.9 or higher are right about 95 percent of the time, with “confirm or ask a person” below that, which is the deployment logic the calibrated-probability columns all promise. The one independent reading so far is adverse: the Decision Index 0.4.1 board (edition 0.4, regenerated 2026-10-29, 248 configurations, the Full score now entirely private) scores strands-decider-2b at 20.72, rank 199, against the vendor’s Jev 1.14 at 60.24 (forty-ninth), while the project’s own balanced-skill self-run reads 30.82; JevBench’s method-v1.8 board (fetched 2026-10-31) now carries a ranked row for the v1 line’s 26B-A4B sibling, official #84 at 60.01, with the 2B itself still unbenched.

Strengths
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  • The evaluation culture is the strongest in the category: per-seed results beside the released soup, a KL anchor to the previous release, held-out sets named with their train-split relationships disclosed, and a calibration contract stated as a number you can act on.
  • Vendor standing is concrete: the Strands Agents SDK is one of the major agent frameworks, and a decision model shipped as its native component is the distribution path the H2O note predicted would crowd the individuals.
  • The data mix is documented past what most of the wave publishes, including the commercially restricted rows it removed and the teacher-versus-filter roles of the two LLMs.
  • Small enough for CPU and Apple-silicon serving with a pip one-liner, which keeps the deployment story inside processes no GPU touches.

Cautions
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  • The only third-party reading is near the bottom of the board: 20.72 against Jev’s 60.24 on the Decision Index’s 0.4.1 rebuild, with the 2B itself still unbenched (JevBench’s only Strands row is the 26B-A4B sibling at official #84), so the 2B’s calibration contract is self-run until a board row confirms it.
  • 600 stars, a checkpoint too new for download counts, and an adverse board row make this the weakest traction of any admitted entry in this wave; the thread’s warmth has not yet become deployments at scale.
  • The training configs of all five v1 releases landed under configs/v1 on 2026-10-16, but the data builders themselves are still not on main, so the one thing the results tables imply you could check, the data, cannot be rebuilt from the repository yet.
  • The project is tied to the Strands SDK’s roadmap, and the README’s own framing (“an experimental typed classifier” on PyPI) keeps expectations deliberately low.

Pricing
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Pricing does not apply: Apache-2.0 code and weights, a free PyPI package, and no hosted service. The cost is your own hardware, and the 2B size keeps that small.

Compared to
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  • Jev: the closed original whose published numbers this model’s self-run tables use as yardsticks; Jev keeps the latency and the SLA, Strands Decider ships inspectable weights with a calibration contract.
  • Decider: the open family with the widest checkpoint range, whose 31B ranks twenty-seventh on the Decision Index where Strands’ 2B ranks 199th; choose Decider for measured accuracy across budgets, Strands Decider for the eval discipline and the SDK tie-in.
  • H2O-Lightning-4B: the other company-built open checkpoint, measured first on the board that has not measured this one; the two are the test case for whether vendors or individuals populate this category.

Bottom line
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Recommended for engineers inside the Strands ecosystem who want a local, calibrated decision component with published per-seed evidence, and for anyone studying how a vendor should disclose a training run. Not as a measured engine today: one adverse third-party reading and no second board row. The disagreeable claim I will defend: the fair comparison is not with the community fine-tunes but with the vendor APIs, and Strands Decider is the first open artifact whose confidence contract is stated precisely enough to be falsifiable, which is worth more than the 40 points of Decision Index score separating it from Jev.

Changes
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  • 2026-10-12 - Created from the entrant scan (HN and release-feed sweep), accepted on the 285-point thread, AWS Strands team standing, and the published seed-level evaluation culture, with the adverse Decision Index reading recorded as the governing caution.
  • 2026-10-13 - The Decision Index 0.3.2 relabel and second same-day regeneration (149 configurations) moved the adverse reading from 21.75, rank 107, to 21.34, rank 111; refreshed stars to 600 and the pushed date to 2026-10-12.
  • 2026-10-15 - The Decision Index’s 2026-10-14 regeneration (166 configurations) held the score at 21.34 while moving the rank from 111 to 127; refreshed stars to 636, forks to 85, and the pushed date to 2026-10-14.
  • 2026-10-18 - Volatile re-verification surfaced the release’s full extent and recorded it: the v1 line shipped five checkpoints on 2026-10-09, the 2B Qwen3.5 measured here plus four Gemma 4 siblings (E2B, E4B, 12B, 26B-A4B on google/gemma-4-*-it bases) carrying self-run tables the note had not mentioned, and the training configs of all five were published under configs/v1 on 2026-10-16 (the data builders remain off main); the Decision Index’s 2026-10-16 regeneration (174 configurations) moved the unchanged 21.34 from rank 127 to 135 and Jev’s reading to the 1.14 row at 61.53, the pushed date moved to 2026-10-16 (an evaluate/serving consistency fix and the config publication), and the checkpoint’s likes refreshed to 7.
  • 2026-10-20 - Volatile re-verification after the 2026-10-19 push: recorded the first tagged releases (v0.1.0 and v0.2.0, 2026-10-19), PyPI now 0.2.0 with the CLI’s inference-from-training split, the MPS and concurrent-serving fixes, evaluation matching serving’s preparation, and the harness-agnostic customize-decider skill; pushed date moved to 2026-10-19 and forks refreshed to 91.
  • 2026-10-22 - The Decision Index’s 0.4.1 rebuild (226 configurations, the Full score now entirely private) moved the adverse reading from 21.34, rank 135 of 174, to 20.72, rank 178 of 226, against Jev 1.14’s 60.24; pushed date moved to 2026-10-21 (a serving-package refactor and formatting, no release).
  • 2026-10-24 - Volatile re-verification after the 2026-10-23 push (release CI publishing GitHub releases with the PyPI artifacts, plus formatting): the 0.4.1 board’s same-day regeneration (229 configurations) moved the unchanged 20.72 from rank 178 to 181; pushed date moved to 2026-10-23.
  • 2026-10-27 - Out-of-rotation re-fetch at the drift signal: the board’s 2026-10-26 regeneration (230 configurations) moved the unchanged 20.72 from rank 181 to 182, and the repository’s pushed date moved to 2026-10-26 on a training-code refactor that removed the superseded slot head (the pointer head is the only readout; released checkpoints keep loading, no release); forks refreshed to 99; fetched and re-cited.
  • 2026-10-30 - Volatile re-verification after the pushed-date move to 2026-10-29: no default-branch commit has landed since the 10-26 slot-head removal, so the movement is branch activity; v0.2.0 remains the latest release; pushed date and as-of figures moved to 2026-10-29 and 2026-10-30.
  • 2026-10-31 - Out-of-rotation board re-fetch at the drift signal, both boards: the Decision Index’s 2026-10-29 regeneration (248 configurations) moved the unchanged 20.72 from rank 182 to 199, and JevBench’s method-v1.8 board added a ranked Strands row, the v1 line’s 26B-A4B sibling at official #84 (60.01, Hugging Face amazon/strands-decider-26B-A4B-gemma4-v1-2610), leaving the 2B itself still unbenched.

See also
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  • Jev - the closed contract this model reimplements openly and self-measures against
  • Decider - the open family measured beside it on the Decision Index, 66.03 versus 20.72
  • H2O-Lightning-4B - the other vendor-built open checkpoint in the wave
  • Kev - the pre-registered-eval precedent this project’s seed tables most resemble
  • Hybrid Execution Feature Matrix - the category comparison this note joins

References
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